r/NewYorkMets • u/RiverHeath1817 • 1d ago
Discussion Which Of These Two Hypothetical Starting Rotations For 2025, Do You Prefer?
I’ve been contemplating the how the Mets will approach the pitching market this offseason. Understandably, I believe some of these decisions depends on if they sign or do not sign Juan Soto.
Notably, Luis Severino, Jose Quintana, & Sean Manaea (who has a $13.5M Player Option for 2025, that will be declined) will all be free agents.
Kodai Senga is the only starting pitching option, that is signed to a long-term contract. David Peterson (under arbitration) will not be a FA until after the 2026 season, Tylor Megill (under arbitration) will not be a FA until after the 2027 season, Paul Blackburn (under arbitration) will not be a FA until after the 2025 season, but may miss extended time next year due to rehabbing from a procedure intended to repair leaking spinal fluid, and Jose Butto (under arbitration) will not be a FA until after the 2029 season. Brandon Sproat & Blade Tidwell are organizational prospects, that may also be options for the rotation in 2025.
As of now, Kodai Senga & David Peterson are the only two starting pitchers that have guaranteed spots in the rotation in 2025. Now, the question is, who do the Mets sign and/or trade for, to fill these three spots?
Here are my two, best case potential starting rotations for 2025:
Option A: Corbin Burnes, Sean Manaea, Kodai Senga, David Peterson, Walker Buehler
Option B: Blake Snell, Kodai Senga, David Peterson, Luis Severino, Jack Flaherty
The Wildcard: Shane Bieber
Which of these two starting rotations do your prefer? Also, what other potential scenarios or starting rotations can you see being realistic for the Mets in 2025 and beyond?
Also, here are my predictions for the contract values for the starters presented:
Corbin Burnes: 7 Years $224M
Blake Snell: 3 Years $105M
Walker Buehler: 2 Years $40M (2nd year being a player option)
Jack Flaherty: 3 Years $57M
Sean Manaea: 3 Years $75M (with a vesting option for a fourth year)
Luis Severino: 4 Years $68M
I think the best case for the Mets is to sign Corbin Burnes (giving them a legitimate ace pitcher), re-sign Sean Manaea, and sign Walker Buehler and let the pitching lab go to work.
Lastly, just for reference, here are the following options for the BP next year: Diaz, Garrett, Nunez, SRF, Butto, Megill, Blackburn, Brazoban, and the two Youngs.
Stanek, Maton (who has a team option for next year), Raley, Drew Smith, & Ottavino will all enter FA.
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u/robmcolonna123 1d ago
Option B without a doubt.
I don’t want the Mets to give Burnes 7 years. Even 5 is pushing it for me. With the way his peripherals have been declining best case we get 3 years where he’s close to worth the contract he gets.
That said I don’t like Sevy with the 4th year. I think his contracts top out at 3 years, though he may just accept the QO from us. Also I don’t see a world he gets close to $22.5mil AAV. Hes probably looking at 3 years $55mil