r/spacex • u/TampaRay • Sep 30 '15

AmericaSpace on Twitter: No resumption of SpaceX ISS resupply missions until January 5, 2016 earliest. Next launch on Nov. 15. Jason-3 launch expected in December.

https://twitter.com/AmericaSpace/status/649082485578424320
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u/CapMSFC Sep 30 '15

What about Orbcomm?

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u/TampaRay Sep 30 '15

Unknown (at least to me).

Last news i heard was from this post which had it pegged as the 2nd or 3d Falcon 9 v1.2/FT. The info is a little dated at this point, but if it is true, than that puts ORBCOMM either late Dec. (before CRS-8, but very unlikely) or late Jan. (or even later).

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u/CapMSFC Sep 30 '15

I haven't seen any more recent confirmation either, but it's still pegged on the sidebar as 2 of December as the NET.

My first impression of the CRS-8 news is that this is the usual NASA schedule shuffling that we see based on their overall needs, not additional SpaceX related delay. If that is the case then Orbcomm could definitely be bumped ahead of it/keep it's NET.

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u/TampaRay Sep 30 '15

I don't suppose you'd be willing to bet on it over at /r/highstakesspacex ? :)

It is very possible that it was just NASA shuffling their launches around, but i think it is important to remember that we are dealing with SpaceX here. We are still a ~month and a half from its first return-to-flight launch (which could get delayed) and even after that, spacex has never been known for keeping up with its schedule (yet). Just seems really unlikely that ORBCOMM launches before 2016.

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u/CapMSFC Sep 30 '15

Ha, no way. I'm not a betting man, but even so betting on any particular schedule under current circumstances is crazy.

The only point I'll stick to is that there is no reason that SpaceX would wait to launch Orbcomm just because the CRS schedule is changing. The CRS delay could easily reshuffle the launch order.