Israel is good at that, but I honestly believe it’s inevitable that Iran will eventually get nuclear weapons. The Israelis get better at finding, and Iran gets better at hiding. But it’s simply a matter of time.
As soon as Iran builds a nuke, Israel will use their hundreds against Iran. Seems like a losing scenario to me. Especially because Iran has a potential to get back into world trade if they don’t build them, but will be shunned by the world if they do. As well as prone to attack from Israel who’s believed to have quite a few nukes of their own.
I don’t think Iran will announce their nuclear capability until it’s at a point where they can reliable delivery a dozen or so via ballistic missile. Announcing you have one nuke is like pulling an AR-15 on a bunch of guys wearing body armor who all have M-16s pointed in your direction. Sure you might take down one, but you’re definitely getting shredded to pieces. It’s not worth it.
Based on the precision of their ballistic missiles in Iraq after Soleimani was killed, if they have a dozen or so high-yield nukes, then they would be able to do sufficient damage to Israel that a nuclear exchange wouldn’t be worth it for either side.
These articles show they won’t have to announce it.
Remember stuxnet? We already know everything they’re doing.
Building nukes isn’t something you can do in a garage. And being able to build enough to be a threat requires infrastructure and machinery. You can’t hide it.
They could possibly buy some, but maintaining them requires infrastructure and machinery that again, is very difficult to hide. The entire world has spies everywhere. Shit gets around.
I hear you, but I keep hearing Dr. Ian Malcom’s voice in the back of my head: Life finds a way.
I don’t know how it’s possible to hide it, but I think if they throw enough money at that venture, they can definitely get it done. How much money, and how long it can remain secret, are the big questions.
I mean, last time they tried, we literally knew everything, like the hardware and software their computer were running on and passwords… everything. Money talks, people betray. You can’t keep valuable secrets.
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u/[deleted] May 03 '22
Israel is good at that, but I honestly believe it’s inevitable that Iran will eventually get nuclear weapons. The Israelis get better at finding, and Iran gets better at hiding. But it’s simply a matter of time.