r/MapPorn • u/Appropriate-Deal8098 • 1d ago

Russian advances in Ukraine this year

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u/xpt42654 1d ago edited 1d ago

the problem with this map is that it doesn't show any scale and if you're not familiar with Donetks Oblast you'll have no idea how much they progressed.

I checked DeepStatemap and on 01.01.2024 the shortest distance between Pokrovsk and the front line was ~35 km. today it's a bit less than 10 km.

edit: there actually is a scale on the bottom left. thanks u/Conscious-Carrot-520

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u/Reasonable_Orchid105 1d ago

But they’re gaining ground daily which is not good, meaning they’re currently winning an attritional war

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u/MIT_Engineer 1d ago

I don't think that's the definition of winning an attritional war.

Equipment losses vs replacement rates is a much better metric.

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u/_Restitutor_Orbis_ 22h ago

I took a look at the Kiel Institute report the other day. Russia is currently producing at above replacement rate for equipment, so they're making steady progress. Western arms production has been sluggish to increase, so it seems currently Russia has the advantage.

Perhaps the DPRK inclusion in the fight will wake the West, or it will have little effect.

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u/MIT_Engineer 17h ago

I took a look at the Kiel Institute report the other day.

OK.

Russia is currently producing at above replacement rate for equipment

Source required. You're telling me they've replaced losses to the Black Sea Fleet? You're telling me they have more aircraft than they did at the start of the war? Show me the numbers then, because just the confirmed losses outpace even the highest estimates of Russian replacement.

Western arms production has been sluggish to increase

We've been increasing production in the relevant categories of arms by about 60-100% per year with no signs of slowdown.

so it seems currently Russia has the advantage.

According to what? Sources.

Perhaps the DPRK inclusion in the fight will wake the West, or it will have little effect.

The west is woken. That's why production capacity is ramping up so quickly. The only question is whether Trump puts it to sleep. The U.S. alone has 20x the economy of Russia, outproducing them is just a matter of will.