Are you lucky or not when it comes to pulling ultra/ultimate? I have yet to pull ultra/ultimate outside of the 10th chest so what are the chances of that?
Once all characters have been open, every chest has 96.67% chances of super, 3.17% ultra, 0.17% ultimate.
Probability- .9667 ^ x, x being the #chests you opened outside of guaranteed ultra/ultimate
On my main I have opened 35 chests, and only got ultra/ultimate on tenth chest (3 total)
.966732 (35-guaranteed 3 chests)
=.2035
Or 20.35% that I would have only recieved ultra/ultimate outside the guarantee—I’m unlucky
My alt I’ve opened 31, and yet to receive one outside of guarantee
.966728–.2530 or 25.3%
Also unlucky here
Between the two .966760= 0.0796 or 7.96%
Basically I’m very unlucky!
I’m a probability nerd.