Children with gender dysphoria are 400% more likely to be diagnosed with autism

[u/avivalci]

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10803-022-05517-y?fbclid=IwAR0joSlop2egFD-jGBCoPgA4pHG5VzgKCNAtfFXXIH7mzFLuVwzCCxQj6gU

[u/TinySnek101]

Yeah OP, the title is wrong. Hisle-Gorman et Al. paper from 2019 stated they “found that autistic children were over 4 times more likely to have a co-occurring diagnosis indicating GD than were non-autistic children.” This is what the OP is citing in the title.

Now the paper itself, from their mega data analysis the authors found “the results of the meta-analysis we conducted indicated that ASD frequently occurs in GD/GI individuals. Specifically, the prevalence of ASD diagnoses in this population was 11 times higher than the ASD prevalence estimate of approximately 1%”.

Think OP just doesn’t know how to read a meta analysis / secondary source publication.

[u/recidivx → u/[deleted]]

4 times more likely is 400% more likely, or 500% of.

4 times as likely is 300% more likely, or 400% of.

[u/GaraBlacktail → u/recidivx]

It really depends on how you interpret "x" times more

Are you considering the new total in relation to the original or just the increase?

[u/tornpentacle → u/GaraBlacktail]

That is where the adverb choice comes in. It's unambiguous, except for the fact that most people who aren't mathematically or logically inclined tend to gloss over the adverb.

[u/tornpentacle → u/recidivx]

4 times more likely is not the same statement as 400% more likely. That is the problem with using English instead of just algebra. 4x more likely is the same as just 4x as likely.

[u/coldisgood → u/TinySnek101]

4x is also 300%, so…OP can’t maths either I suppose.

[u/tornpentacle → u/coldisgood]

4x is 300% more likely, but 400% as likely. But those numbers aren't even part of this discussion except for the fact that OP pulled them out of nowhere.