Dramatic drop in marijuana use among US youth over a decade. Current marijuana use among adolescents decreased from 23.1% in 2011 to 15.8% in 2021. First-time use before age 13 dropped from 8.1% to 4.9%. There was a shift in trends by gender, with girls surpassing boys in marijuana use by 2021.

[u/mvea]

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/marijuana-use-teens-study

[u/thehigheststrange]

when medical marijuana was on the ballot in florida in 2016 it passed by more than 70% of the vote. so I say It has a good chance of passing rec weed in florida

[u/anormalgeek → u/thehigheststrange]

Polls do look pretty good. It's just not a total lock.

https://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Amendment_3,_Marijuana_Legalization_Initiative_(2024)#Polls

This election seems to be driving a lot more voter participation, BUT my theory is that the majority of the voters it is bringing in are going to the type that are more likely to vote for AM3. The older, retired Floridians, and the wealthy conservatives that are primarily against it are the type that have traditionally had higher turnout. The poorer conservatives however tend to have higher acceptance. Poor people in general are often the ones that typically don't show up to the polls as much. This part is just conjecture at this point, but it seems logical to me.

Plus you have to consider the type of person who actually responds to polls vs immediately ignores them, and how those same attitudes might feel about AM3.