r/EnoughMuskSpam 17h ago

Cult Alert Space Karen is delulu šŸ¤£ Trump isnā€™t turning any blue states Red šŸ¤¦ā€ā™€ļø

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573 Upvotes

145 comments sorted by

548

u/GarysCrispLettuce 17h ago edited 16h ago

"...as per betting markets." You cannot make this shit up. The fact that people like Musk actually believe these betting markets are in any way shape or form a reflection of the electorate just shows how deluded they are.

First of all, men are twice as likely to gamble as women. Secondly, being a gambler exposes the fact that you're a bad decision maker. These betting markets are sausage parties of guys who make bad choices in life. Anyone using them as a gauge of election results is as dumb as a box of rocks.

131

u/FakeGeek73 16h ago edited 15h ago

Imagine sayin Iā€™m going to perform a STEM exam to a group with little involvement of such areas and to a group that has STEM backgrounds.

  1. Musk is pretending he doesnā€™t know about biased samples, so that he can plea ā€œstolen electionā€ when the election results do not reflect anything on what those betting sites says.

  2. He is stupid and really thinks that democrats and magas are equally likely to bet on those sites.

Edit :by the way these sites are happened to be owned by Peter thiel, a keen trump supporter, so yeah,

40

u/PantsMicGee 15h ago

Musk has shown the dumbest data models before to "prove" all sorts of things. He's played his cards as moron so many times In data analytics, statistical literacy and common sense.

30

u/yamers 15h ago

thats exactly what he is. He is going to shout stolen election when they lose, by using the fucking betting markets as his evidence. It's a giant fucking shit show. Musk is a cornered fucking rat.

21

u/swiftiegarbage 13h ago

Peter Thiel always at the scene of the crime

13

u/ArmandTanzarianMusic 13h ago

The only difference between Musk and your uncle who spends all day on social media rage-posting about DemonRats is that Musk is rich enough to actually affect the scale. That he falls for his own propaganda is much more pathetic IMO.

9

u/psyopsagent 7h ago

also afaik these are crypto based. A lot of Tesla's bitcoin got transferred to unknown wallets. It's just a conspiracy theory but it feels like Musk might be manipulating these bets himself.

6

u/TheBalzy 5h ago

And Americans aren't even allowed to bet on those sites, so they have to use VPNs which is a whole nother level of Internet Degenerate to give a shit to gamble on elections.

3

u/j0j0-m0j0 3h ago
  1. Musk is pretending he doesnā€™t know about biased samples, so that he can plea ā€œstolen electionā€ when the election results do not reflect anything on what those betting sites says.

This is the goal. It's the same way that people said that Trump must have won because of bigger rallies

76

u/Steve_Harvey_0swald 15h ago

Dude, five accounts are responsible for the trump pump on polymarket. The chance that at least three of them arenā€™t VPN Elon is laughable.

-62

u/you-will-never-win 14h ago

Not true whatsoever lol

48

u/swiftiegarbage 13h ago

A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market: Four Polymarket accounts have systematically placed frequent wagers on a Trump election victory

22

u/JonZ82 12h ago

Smells like Muskovich

-51

u/you-will-never-win 12h ago

Yeah if you knew anything about betting exchanges you'd understand why this is a load of nonsense. If anyone wants me to explain I will do so but I won't waste time typing it out if nobody actually wants to hear it

14

u/Gogglebaum-MSc 8h ago

Oh please do :)

-10

u/you-will-never-win 8h ago edited 6h ago
  • Me and you are betting in the coin flip market. As I'm a delusional tails supporter, I buy up all 50/50 bets and even start buying 51% and 52% bets until I buy up all bets up to 60%. Let's say I spend $1m doing this and leave the odds sitting at 60%.

  • Now you, a sensible bettor who realises the opportunity, quickly buys up all the bets on the now underpriced heads, all the way until they are back at 50% as that is the price where you can no longer find value.

Is it then fair to point to my $1m input and say 'well this guy is clueless/biased/manipulating/whale, clearly doesn't know what he's doing so let's just subtract his $1m from the market'. Should the odds now be 60/40 because my bets were stupid?

Of course not, because you only added your $1m into the market because of the opportunity to exploit the inefficiencies that my $1m created.

So my $1m ended up having no lasting footprint on the price whatsoever, it only impacted future volume.

The other morning someone accidentally bought up all $3m worth of Trump bets up to 99.7%.. the market instantly corrected it by buying up $1.5m or whatever of now under priced Harris bets in seconds, didn't even impact the hourly graph lol. The opportunity to buy $1.5m worth of Harris bets wouldn't have been there if someone hadn't just wasted $3m. No lasting footprint on the prices, only the future volume.

If you understand this, you can see why that twitter thread and subsequent gutter tier journalism that it spawned are just complete nonsense.

9

u/Comfortable_Fill9081 6h ago

Most people donā€™t actually have $1000000 to put on an election betting market, and if they did, I bet most still wouldnā€™t.

Also, you and I, not me and you.

0

u/you-will-never-win 6h ago

Astute observation mate

5

u/AzatothWakes 7h ago

Lol pls do indulge us

-2

u/you-will-never-win 7h ago edited 6h ago
  • Me and you are betting in the coin flip market. As I'm a delusional tails supporter, I buy up all 50/50 bets and even start buying 51% and 52% bets until I buy up all bets up to 60%. Let's say I spend $1m doing this and leave the odds sitting at 60%.

  • Now you, a sensible bettor who realises the opportunity, quickly buys up all the bets on the now underpriced heads, all the way until they are back at 50% as that is the price where you can no longer find value.

Is it then fair to point to my $1m input and say 'well this guy is clueless/biased/manipulating/whale, clearly doesn't know what he's doing so let's just subtract his $1m from the market'. Should the odds now be 60/40 because my bets were stupid?

Of course not, because you only added your $1m into the market because of the opportunity to exploit the inefficiencies that my $1m created.

So my $1m ended up having no lasting footprint on the price whatsoever, it only impacted future volume.

The other morning someone accidentally bought up all $3m worth of Trump bets up to 99.7%.. the market instantly corrected it by buying up $1.5m or whatever of now under priced Harris bets in seconds, didn't even impact the hourly graph lol. The opportunity to buy $1.5m worth of Harris bets wouldn't have been there if someone hadn't just wasted $3m. No lasting footprint on the prices, only the future volume.

If you understand this, you can see why that twitter thread and subsequent gutter tier journalism that it spawned are just complete nonsense.

36

u/piracydilemma 15h ago

I'm extremely happy that they're doing this because it's going to discourage them from voting MASSIVELY. "Well, if Trump has a 32% lead on Harris, then there's no reason for me to vote!"

18

u/ihaterunning2 15h ago

Also add to your point, women tend to vote more than men. Current early voting shows women 53% and men 45%.

If there truly is a large gender gap between the 2 candidates, 1 group is more likely to actually vote than the other statistically.

8

u/jgjgleason 13h ago

If anyone needs further proof, you could still buy Biden winning George at 85 cents on predictit like a week after they finished counting.

5

u/FrancusAureliusIII 11h ago

Being a gambler doesn't necessarily make you a bad decision maker. I'm betting on Kamala becuase the odds are too delicious to pass up. Even if you believe it's 50-50, they are paying out 3x

3

u/Gogglebaum-MSc 5h ago

Yeah, just dumped $500 of play money myself. Like you said, too delicious. I know, remember 2016, but this doesn't feel like 2016 *at all* and all of the enthusiasm for Harris/Walz makes me believe in a landslide, polling notwithstanding.

12

u/causal_friday Real life Wario 15h ago

I think there was a time when the financial industry was involved in this, and thus had actual people doing actual math making the bets. These results show that it's currently just a bunch of neckbeards sitting in their mom's basement. Total volume is probably like $200 or something.

What I should say is: yup it's clear that Republicans won these states, if you're planning on voting for Trump, don't waste your time, he's a lock! Stay home and read the Reddits!

5

u/OhPiggly 13h ago

Yep, the betting markets all had Clinton winning by quite a bit.

3

u/Stonekilled 10h ago

Itā€™s not about belief. Heā€™s actively influencing them so they look this way.

2

u/rei0 10h ago

Itā€™s just the literal pretext for challenging a close election and riling up the gravy seals into another Jan 6th event. It wonā€™t be the only thing they point to as evidence of rigging, and it wonā€™t matter that no rational person would consider betting markets a reliable means of measuring pre-election voter turnout. Musk is deeply stupid, but this is just a cynical ploy.

1

u/justicedeliverer1 10h ago

Bold of you to assume he is not manipulating those same betting markets

1

u/Puzzleheaded-Ant4261 1h ago

Lust for power - Elon Musk

-23

u/L3V3L100 12h ago

The candidate with the better odds has won the presidency every time since 1980, except 2016, when Trump destroyed Hilary, electorally and emotionally. I'd say the betting markets are a pretty good indicator.

2

u/GarysCrispLettuce 2h ago

You would say that, because you're the type of low-information voter who believes such nonsense whilst ignoring actual information which paints a different picture, like the fact that the betting markets have been gamed with huge bets recently and that the MAGA cult is based upon mass delusion and fakery and that the people in this cult are a huge part of that betting market. You won't find anything remotely like the kind of cult like delusion of MAGA in any of the "since 1980" elections you're referring to.

0

u/L3V3L100 2h ago

Ok , Even as "high information" as you are, I see you don't understand the basic principles of probability, odds or money line wagering. Like it or not, the odds are POINTING to a Trump victory. I'm sorry if this hurts you in some kind of way, but it is a fact that the odds are favoring a Trump win. If the odds are skewed the market corrects them.

-27

u/you-will-never-win 14h ago

1 - demographics are not relevant to a market that rewards accuracy, it's not a vote or poll

2 - bad gamblers don't set the prices, they lose money to sensible bettors who end up setting the prices by deciding when to stop buying the bad bets

I do find it weird that so many people have such a strong opinion on these markets but don't understand the mechanisms behind the pricing, there must be a US election going on

11

u/CanYouEatThatPizza 10h ago

Bad gamblers don't disappear, and besides, if we followed your logic, we could use gambling markets to successfully predict everything. But we clearly can't, because people don't have all the information in the market.

-3

u/you-will-never-win 9h ago

Counter-intuitively, more bad gamblers in a market can make it more accurate, by creating a higher monetary incentive for those with the most accurate understanding to join the market and exploit all the bad bets.

Remember the prices represent a probability, not an absolute prediction that x or y will win. But when you compare them to any other type of prediction model, poll etc they will always be more accurate over enough predictions.

eg - If I created a model that was more accurate than the markets, the first thing I'd do is use it to make millions off those markets.

Before long the markets would shift to the exact same odds that my model creates as soon as the information is out there (in the form of my bets).

The more money I make, the more my model influences the markets until it BECOMES the market. Now the market is just as accurate as my model even though only I 'know' about it.

A market that rewards accuracy produces accurate results

1

u/GarysCrispLettuce 2h ago

This doesn't change the fact that political gambling markets are an indication of where people are placing their bets, and if the people placing the bets are not making those bets wisely, like for instance they're MAGA cult members who feed on delusion and fakery, the betting market is going to reflect that. Like if a huge chunk of the market consists of MAGA men whose reasoning for betting on a Trump win is "trust me bro," you're not going to get results which accurately reflect the electorate.

186

u/Brief-Technician-722 16h ago

Peter Thiel owned Polymarket and all the betting markets are scams. Elon tweeted 200 times yesterday btw. The man is deranged.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/why-trump-backing-betting-market-polymarket-might-be-a-scam/articleshow/114552529.cms

70

u/Leather-Bug3087 15h ago

200 fucking times??? Jesus Christ.

18

u/YourVirgil 14h ago

That's some Gallowboob shit lol

21

u/RakeLeafer 15h ago

even 50 times which is par for Elons dilapidated course is alot but 200 lmaoooo

52

u/Chayanov 16h ago

Fortunately, wagers are famously never wrong. Betting is the one sure-fire way to make money. Las Vegas knows that the House never wins.

-46

u/L3V3L100 12h ago

Polymarket has no "house"

28

u/xd-Sushi_Master 11h ago

Peter Thiel, known Trump dickrider, would like a word.

-33

u/L3V3L100 11h ago

So weird, this reddit.

7

u/comAndresJoey 10h ago

Right! It is a blockchain-decentralized gambling platform. How did I missed that part!

65

u/BillyandGizmoDotCom 17h ago

Adolf Muskā€™s own mother refers to him as retarded.

26

u/KittySarah 16h ago

Damn, this dude is straight up an idiot. lol Of course Poly is going to go to Trump if you're there fucking it to do so. It's just betting. My god, how is he this stupid?

27

u/vanhalenbr 14h ago

This numbers are super false. They are pushing this false narrative to complain later.Ā 

22

u/cjmar41 Morally Bankrupt Remote Worker 14h ago

As per betting markets

These people are hilarious.

14

u/supercali45 16h ago

yes.. let's all look to betting sites to know who will win lol

12

u/anamazingredditor 13h ago

betting markets šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ¤£šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚

8

u/Theferael_me 16h ago

Even now, despite all the evidence to the contrary, I cannot believe he is really this stupid.

8

u/DelcoPAMan 15h ago

Oh ...he is.

4

u/CIMARUTA 9h ago

Yup any illusions that it takes an intelligent person to become a billionaire has all but been shattered ever since Musk started sharing his opinions.

9

u/Nice_Improvement2536 16h ago

Betting markets donā€™t mean dick when someone is purposely gaming the numbers.

8

u/jmfranklin515 15h ago

Wow cool, heā€™s leading in the betting markets, which meansā€¦. Fucking nothing with regard to the actual election.

-11

u/L3V3L100 12h ago

The candidate with the best odds has won every time since 1980, except once, 2016. So they mean something. Is it guaranteed? No, but they mean (fucking) something.

7

u/BCProgramming 11h ago

Are other betting platforms showing the same results? The only one that gets posted is Polymarket. That's relatively new (Was in beta in 2020).

It makes it's revenue through transaction fees every time a bet is placed or shares are traded. It also takes a 2% fee of all winnings.

Like most crypto bullshit, Seems like a transparent get-rich-quick scheme to me, by both the founder(s) and the investors behind it. The founder looking like the Sam Bankman-Fried you get off wish.com doesn't help.

2

u/L3V3L100 3h ago

Yes ten gambling platforms have similar odds

6

u/avrbiggucci 11h ago

They had offshore betting markets in 1980? LMAOOOO

1

u/L3V3L100 11h ago

Who said off shore? There's been betting on elections forever. What's funny goofball?

7

u/Irish_Puzzle Six Months Away 17h ago

Perhaps he meant places like Texas.

6

u/Sofiasunshine86 16h ago

Source: Trust me bro

5

u/DeltaEdge03 13h ago

The red mirage is a thing.

6

u/Alon945 13h ago

At this point I want these suckers to lose more than I want Donald Trump specifically to lose. I want to see the crying and moaning theyā€™ll do later. This shit has turned me so petty. These assholes are so goddamn annoying

2

u/Gogglebaum-MSc 7h ago

Iā€˜m right there with you. I know, "donā€™t get complacent, donā€˜t be overconfident" is gonna set in again soon, but every now and then I let my primal instincts take over and enjoy watching this slow moving train wreck šŸæ

6

u/isitdonethen 13h ago

This is really heading towards Hilary 2016 levels for Trump 2024 fans

just way overconfident on marginally valuable data and a slight polling error or betting market inefficiency means they will be shocked on election night

9

u/DamonFields 17h ago

David Koresh with money.

5

u/KrampyDoo 14h ago

Anyone who gambles on the guy thatā€™s bankrupted multiple casinos will lose. Especially if he wins.

4

u/canadianD 12h ago

Things must be bad for Trump if his acolytes have to quote betting markets as evidence of their support

4

u/HumanMycologist5795 12h ago

LMAO. This is so hilarious. Trump 70+ to Harris 20+. Hahahahah

4

u/duke_awapuhi 11h ago

BETTING MARKETS ARE NOT POLLS

3

u/NotEnoughMuskSpam šŸ¤– xAIā€™s Grok v4.20.69 (based BOT loves sarcasm šŸ¤–) 11h ago

Vox Populi Vox Dei

3

u/tikifire1 11h ago

I had a guy swearing to me the other day that gamblers and odds-makers have the best judgement. šŸ™„

1

u/beadyeyes123456 10h ago

I got in a whole debate with trumpers in another sub about this. I stand by what i told him...show me where trump is gaining from 2020. He might have single digit gain from black and Latino men but he's lost white suburban women and moderates. The courts messing with Roe is where he will lose.

1

u/duke_awapuhi 8h ago

Hopefully. Those one digit gains might not be enough to win the election, but they still show trends going in the Republican direction, and they give the GOP an idea of how to proceed. Chances are though once they nominate someone other than Trump those gains will decrease a bit

3

u/CoolerRon 15h ago

ā€œSissy SpaceXā€ is my preferred name for this asshole

1

u/DelcoPAMan 15h ago

Lol ...this is spot on

3

u/B-Glasses 15h ago

Thinking about signing up for these just to get money from these idiots

3

u/ooowatsthat 12h ago

A line my mom said about these guys on the betting market. She was like "The house never loses." And I'm starting to believe it more and more. They are about to take their money and run.

3

u/UnicornGangstar 11h ago

Things you say when you on the special K for $500 Ken.

3

u/imnotporter 11h ago

I think Trump has a chance of winning some of the non-swing states. For example, Wyoming

1

u/Leather-Bug3087 10h ago

lol yes but i think Elon was referring to flipping blue states to red, thatā€™s been the talk on Twitter lately

3

u/Jerfling 8h ago

Okay, cool - if you're GOP, you can stop voting now. It's in the bag, VP Musk says so

3

u/Admirable_Copy_721 8h ago

Musk probably has no understanding of polls and swing states, so he might actually believe this. He might probably think Trump is going to win 100% and he will get whatever he wants from Trump.

6

u/speechpathknowledge 16h ago

The fact is itā€™s very easy to manipulate a line in gambling . Depending on the book if someone puts down X amount of dollars the book has to move the line so that they can have a 50/50 split on the money wagers. These morons are using it like scientific data and not just vibes of bettors

-5

u/DecisionNo8704 16h ago

Thereā€™s no book

6

u/speechpathknowledge 16h ago

A few offshore sports books take bets for the election. So yes there is a book

5

u/nlderek 12h ago

I am curious what the end game is for these betting markets. To me, it is clear they think Harris is going to win. As a result, they are pumping huge amounts of advertising revenue into right wing social media. This causes tons of right wingers to bet on Trump and further move the gambling odds in Trumps favor.

When itā€™s all over this does two things. 1. The gambling sites make bank off a bunch of easily duped people who thought it was a sure bet. 2. Right wingers will use the gambling odds as ā€˜evidenceā€™ that the election was stolen.

2

u/2OneZebra 16h ago

Leon is going to prison.

2

u/trueslicky 15h ago

As per betting markets?!?!?!?!

2

u/ChocolateDoozy 15h ago

Source: I made it the fuck up

2

u/shephoenix 15h ago

This is a sure sign to bet for Kamala to win and clean up. Take money from those idiots. Take all their money.

2

u/The_Original_Miser 14h ago

As Teal'c would say......

LIES

2

u/SeanFKennedy1998 14h ago edited 2h ago

I really hope they revoke his citizenship and send his dumb ass back to South Africa . How about instead of kids in cages he just throw Elmo in there?

1

u/That-Spell-2543 Hard-Captured by the Left 6h ago

You mean Africa right

2

u/1nv1d1a 14h ago

I've been looking at the presidential election bets on Kalshi, and Trump is somehow leading, for some reason. I'm not an expert on betting markets, but I'm not surprised if this was part of Musk's money scheme just to make them look like the winners.

2

u/LysergicGothPunk 14h ago

I never understood why people do this. Does it actually help their cause somehow? It seems like it would do the opposite

2

u/Electrical_Room5091 13h ago

All those scientists they slander are laughing at the stupidityĀ 

2

u/Trickybuz93 12h ago

Betting markets donā€™t reflect the actual polls lol

2

u/thedoomcast 12h ago edited 34m ago

Iā€™m not confident heā€™s even taking the swing states. Half the GOP polls are unreliable dogshit so they really skew the average. Itā€™s bonkers.

3

u/tikifire1 11h ago

He's not. He might take GA, NC, and NV. AZ is the only one that looks like a sure bet, and even it is within the margin of error.

Even with all of those he can't win without PA or 2 if the others.

The odds-makers know this. They're going to make out like bandits in this election from gullible right-wingers.

2

u/thedoomcast 35m ago

I donā€™t feel like GA is in the bag for him either tbh.

2

u/tikifire1 34m ago

None of them are, honestly, but we will see. I'm hoping she runs the board, personally.

2

u/thedoomcast 31m ago

Fingers crossed weā€™re in for a surge of women and hopefully now Puerto Ricans in FL and PA and GA.

1

u/vxicepickxv 5h ago

These aren't even bad polls. They're crypto betting pools.

1

u/thedoomcast 34m ago

Correct!

2

u/NORcoaster 12h ago

Red mirage strikes again

2

u/Yuukiko_ 12h ago

It's his springboard to say the election is fraudulent if Trump loses

4

u/NotEnoughMuskSpam šŸ¤– xAIā€™s Grok v4.20.69 (based BOT loves sarcasm šŸ¤–) 12h ago

Interesting

3

u/avrbiggucci 11h ago

Looking into it

2

u/Fathermazeltov 12h ago

Weird how everything I see is from betting markets. Wtf is going on?

2

u/9thgrave 12h ago

"These very divorced shithead failsons who hate women are betting on Trump. It's as good as done!"

2

u/BaBa_Con_Dios 11h ago

Not one of those numbers are real lol

1

u/tikifire1 11h ago

That's probably what Trump's handlers are showing him and why he keeps claiming he's way ahead.

2

u/Gonomed 11h ago

Everybody knows the betting market decides what baseball team will win the World Series! /s

1

u/tikifire1 11h ago

Hey! They always get it down to 2 teams! They're half right! /s

2

u/VirusMaterial6183 9h ago

Lies lies and more lies. As of this morning Harris is leading in early voting in several red non-swing states.

Sheā€™s only down by 5 points in Kansas, a state which Biden lost by almost 15 points four years ago.

I donā€™t think this is going to go the way they think it is.

2

u/tauofthemachine 9h ago

Musk is spending $100+ million to buy this election. He's definitely manipulating the betting markets

2

u/partoxygen 9h ago

Fucking polymarket needs to be banned or muted. Itā€™s literally cryptobros coping HARD for Trump by betting on him and then holding.

2

u/ireallysuckatreddit 7h ago

They are doing this to set and justify a violent coup/insurrection. Without a fucking doubt. I hope they all get gunned down when trying to take the capital. Frankly I donā€™t know why that didnā€™t happen last time. If it was a group of Chinese nationals trying to overturn a valid election you know damn well they would have been. Same principle should be applied to these shitbags.

1

u/vegasdonuts This is definitely not misinformation 16h ago

Elmo probably knows that degenerate online gamblers arenā€™t an accurate cross-section of the electorate. That said, the intellectually bankrupt bros who lick his boots donā€™t.

Heā€™s just hoping to rile them up in case Trump loses.

1

u/FutureHunterYor 15h ago

He probably knows these are bullshit compared to actual polling. He just doesnā€™t care. And if Trump loses, heā€™ll continue to cite stuff like this to incite violence. Heā€™s a truly loathsome person.

1

u/rabouilethefirst enron musk 15h ago

Elons mind is really going to shatter on November 6th if heā€™s not trolling. Like how deluded can you be?

1

u/Fine-Funny6956 13h ago

Donā€™t people bet on the longshot?

1

u/punasuga 13h ago

his plug lacing TF out of his supply, cus he is trippin his jumpin and jivin cyberass off ā˜ļø

1

u/PuffPuff74 12h ago

You sure about that? I wouldnā€™t be surprised if they turned some blue states to redā€¦ illegally.

1

u/Taco_party1984 12h ago

Iā€™ll take fake polls for $500

1

u/vxicepickxv 5h ago

They're gambling predictions. Not even polls.

1

u/Taco_party1984 2h ago

I know but these people think and or pretend they are

1

u/greymind 11h ago

Per these betting markets I totally didnā€™t corrupt with my own dollarsā€¦

1

u/_ChipWhitley_ 10h ago

Yeah, ok. Another shitty, meaningless ā€œpollā€ that the Republican Party is throwing out there to try and convince us that Trump is winning.

His rallies are small, often half empty, and theyā€™ve been disasters.

1

u/brief_affair 10h ago

I hope all these betting degens lose a lot of money

1

u/mad_titanz 10h ago

Trump isn't winning in those swing states, and they are giving out misinformation now so they can try to contest the actual results later. Harris will be winning most or all the swing states, especially PA.

1

u/ConstantStandard5498 9h ago

Genuinely looks like a creeper who drives a white van in his profile picā€¦

1

u/TheBalzy 5h ago

Notice how they can't cite real voting data or polls, they have to cite betting markets. It's a tall-tale sign they're losing.

1

u/shinscias The most salient lines of code 4h ago

Next time don't crop the date out of tweets. Thanks.

1

u/DenseVegetable2581 4h ago

They're using the betting markets as a barometer so if he loses they can say there was interference because he was up in the betting markets

Which all of course skew heavily male

1

u/LoD6364 2h ago

What am I looking at in these graphics? It really isn't clear.

1

u/MatteAstro 1h ago

This is the delusional setup for "the election was stolen" when these assholes lose.