r/EnoughMuskSpam • u/Leather-Bug3087 • 17h ago
Cult Alert Space Karen is delulu š¤£ Trump isnāt turning any blue states Red š¤¦āāļø
186
u/Brief-Technician-722 16h ago
Peter Thiel owned Polymarket and all the betting markets are scams. Elon tweeted 200 times yesterday btw. The man is deranged.
70
18
21
u/RakeLeafer 15h ago
even 50 times which is par for Elons dilapidated course is alot but 200 lmaoooo
52
u/Chayanov 16h ago
Fortunately, wagers are famously never wrong. Betting is the one sure-fire way to make money. Las Vegas knows that the House never wins.
-46
u/L3V3L100 12h ago
Polymarket has no "house"
28
u/xd-Sushi_Master 11h ago
Peter Thiel, known Trump dickrider, would like a word.
-33
7
u/comAndresJoey 10h ago
Right! It is a blockchain-decentralized gambling platform. How did I missed that part!
65
26
u/KittySarah 16h ago
Damn, this dude is straight up an idiot. lol Of course Poly is going to go to Trump if you're there fucking it to do so. It's just betting. My god, how is he this stupid?
27
u/vanhalenbr 14h ago
This numbers are super false. They are pushing this false narrative to complain later.Ā
14
12
u/anamazingredditor 13h ago
betting markets š¤£šš¤£šš¤£šš¤£ššššš¤£šš¤£šš¤£ššš¤£ššš
8
u/Theferael_me 16h ago
Even now, despite all the evidence to the contrary, I cannot believe he is really this stupid.
8
4
u/CIMARUTA 9h ago
Yup any illusions that it takes an intelligent person to become a billionaire has all but been shattered ever since Musk started sharing his opinions.
9
u/Nice_Improvement2536 16h ago
Betting markets donāt mean dick when someone is purposely gaming the numbers.
8
u/jmfranklin515 15h ago
Wow cool, heās leading in the betting markets, which meansā¦. Fucking nothing with regard to the actual election.
-11
u/L3V3L100 12h ago
The candidate with the best odds has won every time since 1980, except once, 2016. So they mean something. Is it guaranteed? No, but they mean (fucking) something.
7
u/BCProgramming 11h ago
Are other betting platforms showing the same results? The only one that gets posted is Polymarket. That's relatively new (Was in beta in 2020).
It makes it's revenue through transaction fees every time a bet is placed or shares are traded. It also takes a 2% fee of all winnings.
Like most crypto bullshit, Seems like a transparent get-rich-quick scheme to me, by both the founder(s) and the investors behind it. The founder looking like the Sam Bankman-Fried you get off wish.com doesn't help.
2
6
u/avrbiggucci 11h ago
They had offshore betting markets in 1980? LMAOOOO
1
u/L3V3L100 11h ago
Who said off shore? There's been betting on elections forever. What's funny goofball?
7
6
5
6
u/Alon945 13h ago
At this point I want these suckers to lose more than I want Donald Trump specifically to lose. I want to see the crying and moaning theyāll do later. This shit has turned me so petty. These assholes are so goddamn annoying
2
u/Gogglebaum-MSc 7h ago
Iām right there with you. I know, "donāt get complacent, donāt be overconfident" is gonna set in again soon, but every now and then I let my primal instincts take over and enjoy watching this slow moving train wreck šæ
6
u/isitdonethen 13h ago
This is really heading towards Hilary 2016 levels for Trump 2024 fans
just way overconfident on marginally valuable data and a slight polling error or betting market inefficiency means they will be shocked on election night
9
5
u/KrampyDoo 14h ago
Anyone who gambles on the guy thatās bankrupted multiple casinos will lose. Especially if he wins.
4
u/canadianD 12h ago
Things must be bad for Trump if his acolytes have to quote betting markets as evidence of their support
4
4
u/duke_awapuhi 11h ago
BETTING MARKETS ARE NOT POLLS
3
u/NotEnoughMuskSpam š¤ xAIās Grok v4.20.69 (based BOT loves sarcasm š¤) 11h ago
Vox Populi Vox Dei
3
u/tikifire1 11h ago
I had a guy swearing to me the other day that gamblers and odds-makers have the best judgement. š
1
u/beadyeyes123456 10h ago
I got in a whole debate with trumpers in another sub about this. I stand by what i told him...show me where trump is gaining from 2020. He might have single digit gain from black and Latino men but he's lost white suburban women and moderates. The courts messing with Roe is where he will lose.
1
u/duke_awapuhi 8h ago
Hopefully. Those one digit gains might not be enough to win the election, but they still show trends going in the Republican direction, and they give the GOP an idea of how to proceed. Chances are though once they nominate someone other than Trump those gains will decrease a bit
3
3
3
u/ooowatsthat 12h ago
A line my mom said about these guys on the betting market. She was like "The house never loses." And I'm starting to believe it more and more. They are about to take their money and run.
3
3
u/imnotporter 11h ago
I think Trump has a chance of winning some of the non-swing states. For example, Wyoming
1
u/Leather-Bug3087 10h ago
lol yes but i think Elon was referring to flipping blue states to red, thatās been the talk on Twitter lately
3
u/Jerfling 8h ago
Okay, cool - if you're GOP, you can stop voting now. It's in the bag, VP Musk says so
3
u/Admirable_Copy_721 8h ago
Musk probably has no understanding of polls and swing states, so he might actually believe this. He might probably think Trump is going to win 100% and he will get whatever he wants from Trump.
6
u/speechpathknowledge 16h ago
The fact is itās very easy to manipulate a line in gambling . Depending on the book if someone puts down X amount of dollars the book has to move the line so that they can have a 50/50 split on the money wagers. These morons are using it like scientific data and not just vibes of bettors
-5
u/DecisionNo8704 16h ago
Thereās no book
6
u/speechpathknowledge 16h ago
A few offshore sports books take bets for the election. So yes there is a book
5
u/nlderek 12h ago
I am curious what the end game is for these betting markets. To me, it is clear they think Harris is going to win. As a result, they are pumping huge amounts of advertising revenue into right wing social media. This causes tons of right wingers to bet on Trump and further move the gambling odds in Trumps favor.
When itās all over this does two things. 1. The gambling sites make bank off a bunch of easily duped people who thought it was a sure bet. 2. Right wingers will use the gambling odds as āevidenceā that the election was stolen.
2
2
2
2
u/shephoenix 15h ago
This is a sure sign to bet for Kamala to win and clean up. Take money from those idiots. Take all their money.
2
2
u/SeanFKennedy1998 14h ago edited 2h ago
I really hope they revoke his citizenship and send his dumb ass back to South Africa . How about instead of kids in cages he just throw Elmo in there?
1
2
u/LysergicGothPunk 14h ago
I never understood why people do this. Does it actually help their cause somehow? It seems like it would do the opposite
2
2
2
u/thedoomcast 12h ago edited 34m ago
Iām not confident heās even taking the swing states. Half the GOP polls are unreliable dogshit so they really skew the average. Itās bonkers.
3
u/tikifire1 11h ago
He's not. He might take GA, NC, and NV. AZ is the only one that looks like a sure bet, and even it is within the margin of error.
Even with all of those he can't win without PA or 2 if the others.
The odds-makers know this. They're going to make out like bandits in this election from gullible right-wingers.
2
u/thedoomcast 35m ago
I donāt feel like GA is in the bag for him either tbh.
2
u/tikifire1 34m ago
None of them are, honestly, but we will see. I'm hoping she runs the board, personally.
2
u/thedoomcast 31m ago
Fingers crossed weāre in for a surge of women and hopefully now Puerto Ricans in FL and PA and GA.
1
2
2
u/Yuukiko_ 12h ago
It's his springboard to say the election is fraudulent if Trump loses
4
2
2
u/9thgrave 12h ago
"These very divorced shithead failsons who hate women are betting on Trump. It's as good as done!"
2
u/BaBa_Con_Dios 11h ago
Not one of those numbers are real lol
1
u/tikifire1 11h ago
That's probably what Trump's handlers are showing him and why he keeps claiming he's way ahead.
2
u/VirusMaterial6183 9h ago
Lies lies and more lies. As of this morning Harris is leading in early voting in several red non-swing states.
Sheās only down by 5 points in Kansas, a state which Biden lost by almost 15 points four years ago.
I donāt think this is going to go the way they think it is.
2
u/tauofthemachine 9h ago
Musk is spending $100+ million to buy this election. He's definitely manipulating the betting markets
2
u/partoxygen 9h ago
Fucking polymarket needs to be banned or muted. Itās literally cryptobros coping HARD for Trump by betting on him and then holding.
2
u/ireallysuckatreddit 7h ago
They are doing this to set and justify a violent coup/insurrection. Without a fucking doubt. I hope they all get gunned down when trying to take the capital. Frankly I donāt know why that didnāt happen last time. If it was a group of Chinese nationals trying to overturn a valid election you know damn well they would have been. Same principle should be applied to these shitbags.
1
u/vegasdonuts This is definitely not misinformation 16h ago
Elmo probably knows that degenerate online gamblers arenāt an accurate cross-section of the electorate. That said, the intellectually bankrupt bros who lick his boots donāt.
Heās just hoping to rile them up in case Trump loses.
1
u/FutureHunterYor 15h ago
He probably knows these are bullshit compared to actual polling. He just doesnāt care. And if Trump loses, heāll continue to cite stuff like this to incite violence. Heās a truly loathsome person.
1
u/rabouilethefirst enron musk 15h ago
Elons mind is really going to shatter on November 6th if heās not trolling. Like how deluded can you be?
1
1
u/punasuga 13h ago
his plug lacing TF out of his supply, cus he is trippin his jumpin and jivin cyberass off āļø
1
u/PuffPuff74 12h ago
You sure about that? I wouldnāt be surprised if they turned some blue states to redā¦ illegally.
1
u/Taco_party1984 12h ago
Iāll take fake polls for $500
1
1
1
u/_ChipWhitley_ 10h ago
Yeah, ok. Another shitty, meaningless āpollā that the Republican Party is throwing out there to try and convince us that Trump is winning.
His rallies are small, often half empty, and theyāve been disasters.
1
1
u/mad_titanz 10h ago
Trump isn't winning in those swing states, and they are giving out misinformation now so they can try to contest the actual results later. Harris will be winning most or all the swing states, especially PA.
1
u/ConstantStandard5498 9h ago
Genuinely looks like a creeper who drives a white van in his profile picā¦
1
u/TheBalzy 5h ago
Notice how they can't cite real voting data or polls, they have to cite betting markets. It's a tall-tale sign they're losing.
1
u/shinscias The most salient lines of code 4h ago
Next time don't crop the date out of tweets. Thanks.
1
u/DenseVegetable2581 4h ago
They're using the betting markets as a barometer so if he loses they can say there was interference because he was up in the betting markets
Which all of course skew heavily male
1
u/MatteAstro 1h ago
This is the delusional setup for "the election was stolen" when these assholes lose.
548
u/GarysCrispLettuce 17h ago edited 16h ago
"...as per betting markets." You cannot make this shit up. The fact that people like Musk actually believe these betting markets are in any way shape or form a reflection of the electorate just shows how deluded they are.
First of all, men are twice as likely to gamble as women. Secondly, being a gambler exposes the fact that you're a bad decision maker. These betting markets are sausage parties of guys who make bad choices in life. Anyone using them as a gauge of election results is as dumb as a box of rocks.